Ballon d’Or 2025 odds: Raphinha favourite to take the title from Salah

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The odds have been updated for this year’s Ballon d’Or and they see Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah pushed out of the favourite position, following The Reds’ dismissal from the Champions League. 

Instead, Barcelona’s Raphinha has been promoted to favourite, with odds of 2/1 via Ladbrokes, just ahead of Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappe, both of whom are still in the running for Europe’s biggest tournament. 

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Then comes Mo Salah at 9/2 before joint fourth favourites of Lamine Yamal and Vinicius Jnr. Many will still view Salah as a good shout for the title, especially considering he is the favourite to win the Premier League Golden Boot and the PFA Player of the Year odds. 

Also in the running, Harry Kane is 16/1 to win the trophy, after another exceptional season at Bayern Munich. England’s national all-time top goalscorer has scored 21 in 24 matches in the Bundesliga as well as a further 10 in 11 in the Champions League. 

However, he lamented being taken for granted by media and fans in an interview this week, and if the latest odds are anything to go by, the same may also be true in the Ballon d’Or.

Raphinha has had 23 goal contributions in 27 matches in La Liga, including 13 goals. In the Champions League, he has had 16 contributions in just 10 matches and he could yet help Barcelona lift the trophy. 

Real Madrid’s Mbappe has scored 20 goals in 26 appearances, with a further three assists, and he too remains in contention in Europe. 

Vinicius Jnr was pipped to the Ballon d’Or trophy last season by Rodri. The Manchester City midfielder took the award after helping City achieve a fourth successive Premier League title. 

He was also named the player of the tournament at Euro 2024, as Spain triumphed at the competition, beating the likes of Italy, Germany, France and England without needing to revert to penalties. 

The Ballon d’Or is an annual award, voted for by a jury of journalists from around the world. It has been awarded every year since 1956 and is considered the most prestigious individual award in the sport. 

Lionel Messi, who is a 100/1 outsider for this year’s competition, holds the record for the most trophies, having collected the award eight times. Ronaldo is the player to have received the most nominations, with 18, and has won the title five times. 

This year’s trophy will likely be voted for in September. Last year’s awards were held on 28 October and we can expect a similar timetable this year. 

Odds via Ladbrokes are correct at the time of writing.