Top of the Props: Marauding Munoz, Muslic’s men caught in a trap & high lines at Deepdale

Daniel Munoz to have over 0.5 shots on target for Crystal Palace vs Fulham – 29/10 – BetMGM

Two sides who will see this as an incredible opportunity to make it to Wembley meet on Saturday lunchtime as Fulham entertain London rivals Crystal Palace. 

The Cottagers last made it to the semi-final stage in 2002 against Chelsea whereas Palace have more recent memories although they faced the same opponents as Fulham in 2022 and were also beaten.

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Daniel Munoz has long been an attacking threat for Oliver Glasner as he’s tasked with providing the width going forward from right wing back. 

This season in the Premier League, he’s averaged 0.54 shots on target per 90 minutes, and in recent weeks, this data has sharply increased, with five efforts on goal in his last six starts, two of those finding the back of the net. 

One of those goals came against Fulham just over a month ago and having also had two shots on target against them at home this season, he’ll have good memories against Marco Silva’s men.

Fulham only give up 3.93 shots on target per game in the Premier League, however, Antonee Robinson’s desire to get forward himself often means that they’re exposed on the counter, something that Munoz can exploit once again. 

Over 1.5 Plymouth offsides vs Watford – 5/6 – BetMGM

Plymouth are once again in with a chance of Championship survival, however, they desperately need three points from this trip to Watford if they’re to close the six point gap to safety. 

Watford have their own gap to bridge as they sit five points outside the play-offs. And with this being an early kick-off, they’ll have earmarked a tie with the division's worst away side as a great chance to put pressure on those above them.

A key feature of Argyle’s data under Miron Muslic has been a large number of offsides of which the Green Army are responsible for the majority. 

Under his stewardship, they’ve averaged 2.8 offsides per game with at least two in 10 of 15 of his matches in charge.

They’ve had 24 offsides across their last seven games in all competitions and so are showing no signs of adapting their approach.

Watford are drawing 1.95 offsides per game and their opponents have been flagged at least twice in each of their last four matches. 

This bet would have landed in the reverse fixture where Plymouth fell into the offside trap twice and with that being before Muslic’s arrival, there’s every reason to expect the same again here.

Over 4.5 total offsides in Preston vs Aston Villa – 17/20 – BetMGM

As the only Championship side remaining in the competition, Preston are flying the flag for the EFL. 

The only thing missing from Unai Emery’s tenure at Aston Villa is a trophy and with Man City the only ‘big six’ side left in the competition, Villans fans will see this as a huge opportunity to put that right.

One of the matches in our weekly acca betting tips this week, Emery has always set his sides up with an aggressive, high defensive line and this season, Villa’s games are seeing an average of 4.16 offsides.

Whilst their opponents have had the bulk of these, they’re still being caught offside 1.57 times per game themselves. 

Across their last 12 domestic fixtures, there’s been an average of 5.67 offsides with this bet landing in nine of those games.

Preston games are averaging 3.37 offsides, however, when facing sides who play a similarly high line to Villa’s, they’re consistently seeing five or more. 

The three sides in the Championship who have the best offside traps are Burnley, Coventry and Stoke and across the last four times Preston have played against them, this bet would have landed in all four. 

Odds correct at the time of writing.