Top of the Props: Beto the devil you know, aggressive Antoine and return of the Rash
Beto to commit over 1.5 fouls for Everton vs Arsenal – 13/10 – BetMGM
Everton’s battling display in the Merseyside derby on Wednesday showed that they are not quite on the beach yet and they’ll be keen to disrupt an Arsenal side who have the distraction of Real Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday.
This match also features in this weekend’s weekly acca betting tips and central to their efforts has been striker Beto who has earned plaudits for his energetic displays and physicality.
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The Guinea-Bissau international has averaged 2.16 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season and since replacing the injured Dominic Calvert-Lewin in January, he’s committed at least two fouls in six of his eight league starts.
David Moyes direct style creates plenty of aerial battles where he’s often whistled for a flailing arm or a late challenge.
With defender Gabriel injured, Beto will fancy his chances of roughing up his deputy and getting the better of them.
In the reverse fixture, the Guinea-Bissau forward didn’t play, but Calvert-Lewin and his replacement Armando Broja combined for two fouls, so there’s plenty of precedent to suggest Beto’s approach will continue.
Antoine Semenyo to commit over 1.5 fouls for Bournemouth vs West Ham – 10/11 – BetMGM
Bournemouth’s stellar season is in danger of amounting to little as they followed up their FA Cup exit with a disappointing defeat against Ipswich in midweek that leaves them six points off the top six.
West Ham’s season is also in need of an injection of energy as they’re comfortably clear of relegation trouble but 10 points off a top half finish.
Antoine Semenyo is committing 2.07 fouls per 90 this season and has made at least two infringements in each of his last six games in all competitions.
His aggressive pressing is a key tactical instruction from Andoni Iraola but he’s often mistiming tackles and drawing the attention of the officials.
Down Semenyo’s will be Aaron Wan-Bissaka and Jarrod Bowen who combine for 2.39 fouls drawn per 90 between them and so he’ll be kept very busy.
The last three left-sided attackers against the Hammers have committed 11 fouls combined with each of them landing this bet and Semenyo has the credentials to add to those numbers.
Marcus Rashford to have over 1.5 shots in total and over 0.5 shots on target for Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest – 17/20 – BetMGM
An impressive victory at Brighton on Wednesday kept alive Aston Villa’s hopes of a top four finish to go with their FA Cup semi-final and Champions League quarter-final berths.
Nottingham Forest are having an equally eye-catching season having made the FA Cup semis themselves and also sitting in third, seven points clear of fifth place.
Having looked like his talents may have gone to waste at Manchester United, Marcus Rashford is a man re-born under Unai Emery and for the last two games has disposed of Ollie Watkins as Villa’s central striker.
The England international has found the net in each of those matches and landed this bet in both with a total of five efforts on goal.
His average in a Villans shirt for shots is 3.43 per 90 whilst 1.79 of those per game are finding the target.
Despite being the surprise package of the season, Forest are still conceding the sixth most shots in the division with 4.2 of those hitting the target per game.
In this fixture last season, Villa had 16 shots with six of those on target and Ollie Watkins on the scoresheet. With the form Rashford is in, he’ll be champing at the bit to match that performance at least.
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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