Eurovision 2025 odds: Sweden still favourites to take their eighth glass microphone

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The final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 is just over a month away, taking place in Basel, Switzerland, on 17 May. 

In what will be the 69th edition of the music contest, 37 countries will compete to take home the prestigious glass microphone trophy. 

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Of note, Montenegro returns to the competition after two years away, previously citing the high costs of competing as the main barrier. 

Meanwhile, Moldova, who had previously been confirmed for entry, have pulled out; claiming the country’s selection process needs to undergo substantial reform and hinting at a sub-standard quality of potential entrants.

France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK automatically proceed to the 17 May final, along with hosts Switzerland. 

The remaining 31 countries will battle it out in semi-finals taking part on 13 and 15 May, leaving a total of 26 countries to compete on the big night. 

All entrants have been announced with edited, recorded versions of the songs available for fans. 

On 5 April, fans also got to see 30 of the acts perform live at the Eurovision in Concert event in Amsterdam. 

Starting Thursday 10 April, the UK will be hosting a weekend-long MancHagen Eurovision Festival, culminating in the London Eurovision Party on Sunday 13 April. 

Performances from the acts could give some indication of how well they will perform on the night, influencing last-minute odds changes.

Sweden currently sits atop the betting list. The clear favourites have odds of 13/8 via BetMGM with some other favoured acts including Austria (3/1), France (13/2), Israel (12/1) and the Netherlands (14/1). 

The hosts, Switzerland, are 100/1 outsiders along with the UK’s entrant.

Below, we look at the top five favourites according to the current betting odds, as well as five outsiders that have a real chance of causing a major upset. 

Sweden

KAJ – Bara Bada Bastu (6/4 to win)

KAJ’s Bara Bada Bastu is a synthetic comedy folk-pop song with annoyingly catchy soft rapping and accordion backing. The bookie’s favourite has singalong sections that will do well at getting the live audience going, and lyrics about the benefits of saunas are only likely to help the Swedish entry lift the trophy for an unprecedented eighth time. 

Austria

JJ - Wasted Love (3/1)

Austria’s entry is a high-pitched ballad. The song, Wasted Love, does build, although never really goes anywhere, despite JJ’s impressive tones. Reviewers and critics don’t seem to fancy Austria’s chances but they are currently sitting as second favourite and it seems likely that the judges are more likely to give JJ the points than the fans are. 

France

Louane - Maman (7/1)

As one of the big five, France’s entry automatically gets through to the Sunday final. The song itself, Maman, saw huge billing before the event in Amsterdam, but while Louane’s ballad is likely to go down well with judges, it was seen as a bit of a disappointment when it finally landed. It will feature highly in the overall positions but will struggle to hit the top couple of places.

Israel

Yuval Raphael – New Day Will Rise (14/1)

New Day Will Rise features lyrics in English, Hebrew and French, and it has a strong French feeling. The ballad should do reasonably well with judges, and the public will vote for Israel’s Yuval Raphael, as they will for Ukraine, but the song is arguably not as good as last year’s Israeli entry, so may struggle to hit the heights.

Netherlands

Claude – C’est La Vie (16/1)

The Netherlands entry has been wavering around the fifth favourite position. It starts off as another ballad, with clear lyrics from singer Claude Kiambe. C’est La Vie does have some Eurovision pop elements to it, although nothing really stands out, which means it is likely to become just another Eurovision song on the night.

Finland

Erika Vikman – Ich Komme (20/1)

Outside the top five, Finland’s entry is given a good chance of surprising. Ich Komme, which means I’m coming, is playing on the hope that sex really does sell. 

We can expect a memorable performance on the night from performer Erika Vikman, and Finland might do well in the fan vote, especially with those who tune into Eurovision in the hope of hearing 1990s synth pop.

Estonia

Tommy Cash – Espresso Macchiato (33/1)

Espresso Macchiato will split opinion. The pop Latin entry is annoyingly catchy in parts, and it has angered some Italians, which will certainly help it grab attention. Tommy Cash was criticised for his poor vocal performances but has shown improvements in recent performances. It is gimmicky and, while it will do well with listeners who like that from a Eurovision entry, it may ultimately suffer as a result. 

Belgium

Red Sebastian – Strobe Lights (33/1)

The trance dance track Strobe Lights from Red Sebastian has some sections that hit hard, and it will be popular with some voters. After its initial launch, the song was installed as the favourite to win, but this only lasted for a short time. It has continued to drift out and is now considered a long shot, at best, but many are still tipping it for a surprise victory. 

Albania

Shkodra Elektronike – Zjerm (40/1)

The Albanian folk-pop song Zjerm with a catchy opening hook. Orchestral elements are mixed with some dark production and spoken word elements. Albania historically doesn’t score very well in Eurovision, but Shkodra Elektronike has a good chance of bucking that trend and at good outside odds, too. 

Ukraine

Ziferblat – Bird of Pray (66/1)

Indie song Bird of Pray features opening choir vocals before building, with the last minute of the song arguably being the best. Although the song feels a little dated, Ukraine has enjoyed strong voting over the past few years and Ziferblat will enjoy a similar top 10 result this time around. Victory might be slightly out of their reach, though. 

Full list of odds

Full list of odds below via BetMGM, and are correct at the time of writing