Top of the Props: Cherry picked shots, Ayew up for the battle and a Villan to be a hero
Ibrahima Konate to have over 0.5 shots for Liverpool vs Bournemouth – 19/10 – BetMGM
Frenchman Ibrahima Konate is a consistent threat from set pieces for Liverpool and having been rested for the Champions League trip to PSV on Wednesday, will be back in the starting XI here.
He’s averaged 0.76 shots per 90 this season and his last away start at Brentford saw him have three efforts at goal, two from corners and one from long range.
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Bournemouth are struggling to defend set plays and this was no more obvious than when Forest amassed 0.58 set piece xG against them last weekend. Nikola Milenkovic had three shots in that game and Murillo had one too and so there’s a clear weakness for Liverpool to target.
Our Premier League betting tips expect goals in this game. The Cherries have conceded the fourth most goals from set pieces in the Premier League and you can guarantee that’s an Achilles heel that Liverpool will be aware of and ready to exploit.
Jordan Ayew over 1.5 fouls committed for Leicester vs Everton – 59/50 – BetMGM
Where fouls are concerned, Jordan Ayew is never too far from the conversation and as much as he gets fouled plenty, he’s also no stranger to the referee’s wrath himself.
Across the season, he’s averaged 2.04 fouls per 90 and since Ruud van Nistelrooy took over, that average has jumped to 2.4. This bet has landed in four of his six starts under his new boss and so he’s clearly keen to get stuck in and impress.
When defending, Ayew will be tasked with containing one of Everton’s biggest threats Iliman Ndiaye who is also their most fouled player drawing 1.83 fouls per 90.
Left back Vitaliy Mykolenko also averages 0.88 fouls won per 90 and so there’ll be plenty of opportunities for Ayew to mistime challenges against tricky players.
This is a crucial game in the relegation dogfight, only adding to the pressure and so hopefully Ayew is in a ‘foul mood’.
Ezri Konsa over 0.5 shots for Aston Villa vs Wolves – 9/5 – BetMGM
Tyrone Mings limped off again against West Ham has left Aston Villa very short at centre back as Pau Torres is also injured and Diego Carlos has been sold to Turkey.
Since that injury, both Lucas Digne and in midweek Boubacar Kamara have deputised in the middle of the back line and whilst this causes issues defensively, it also presents a betting opportunity in attack.
Villa’s lack of height at the back leaves Ezri Konsa as the main set piece threat and that makes his odds for a shot eye-catching.
He’s only had five shots in the Premier League all season but two of those came against Wolves at Villa Park where he scored Villa’s second goal.
He also had two shots in the previous meeting between these sides and so he clearly enjoys this derby. In the one game since Mings’ latest absence, Konsa had three shots midweek against Celtic.
Wolves are the worst side at defending set pieces in the Premier League, conceding a massive 17 goals from them at 0.74 per game.
32% of their goals conceded this season have come from set plays and with only Arsenal having scored more goals from such situations than Aston Villa, it feels an obvious angle to attack.
Odds correct at the time of writing.
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