Premier League winner odds swing Arsenal’s way as Burnley stare at the drop

Two months gone in the Premier League and already full of twists. Crystal Palace looked lively early doors, third in the table with three wins and three draws out of six. Then came the Everton defeat that took a bit of wind out of them, while Bournemouth have quietly kept things ticking. 

Liverpool backers saw the odds drift after United nicked that 2-1 at Anfield. Maguire’s header in the 84th turned the whole place on its head and sent the Merseysiders’ outright price drifting from 7/4 to 4/1 on Ladbrokes. 

Down the other end of the table, Wolves and West Ham still can’t buy a bit of rhythm. Forest have turned to Sean Dyche after parting ways with the Aussie manager, hoping that the £180 million summer spree starts to look like something other than a very expensive misfire.

Here are the main talking points around betting on the Premier League winner and relegation race.

Premier League winner odds

Arsenal’s climb to odds-on favourite hardly raises an eyebrow at this point. It’s felt inevitable for weeks. Betway and William Hill have them both priced around 8/11. Now, even Victor Gyökeres has crept up to second in the Premier League top scorer market at 14/1 behind Haaland, despite only three goals to his name so far.

The 39 he bagged for Sporting last campaign still echo loud enough for traders to take notice. 

Same goes for the Gunners, who’ve finished runners-up three seasons on the bounce. Eight rounds in, they’re top on 19 points and posting the best expected-goals-against numbers anywhere in the division.

Meanwhile, Manchester City are tightening the screws. A blip against Spurs and Brighton in August reminded everyone they can still cough up points, but that 3-0 derby win kicked off an eight-game unbeaten streak in all competitions.

With the Norwegian Terminator firing up top, their odds have already tightened from 9/2 to 16/5. Their home tie against Liverpool on 9 November could turn that even shorter if they pull it off.

➡️ Get the latest Premier League predictions, weekly odds, and expert betting tips.

Liverpool’s slip at Anfield against United shook a few heads and dragged their title odds out to 4/1. The chasing lot - Chelsea, United, Spurs - are well adrift in the books. The gap on the table’s only five or six points, fair enough, but that argument stretches thin when Sunderland sit in the same bracket.

Chelsea look the likeliest of the rest at 20/1, United are priced at 50/1, and Spurs are chasing their first ever crown at 66/1. Bournemouth are hanging around in fourth too, and while 150/1 to lift the trophy feels a stretch, 2/1 on a top-six finish looks half worth a flutter if Semenyo and the others stay in one piece.

Here’s how Coral are calling the title race at this stage:

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Premier League relegation odds

Propping up the table right now are Nottingham Forest, West Ham, and Wolves. The latter still can’t buy a win. Injuries to the likes of Larsen and Hee-Chan Hwang haven’t done them any favours, and with Gomes and Agbadou miles off full tilt, the front line looks toothless.

They’re fashioning enough chances to scrape draws, so a touch of luck and a smart January window might yet make those 1/2 relegation odds look a bit harsh.

From where I’m standing, West Ham looks in deeper crisis mode. As per 10Bet, they’re priced at 9/10 for the drop, and with no points on the board at home by matchday eight, it’s getting ugly around the London Stadium.

The crowd’s turned, laying into David Sullivan and the board for another window of penny-pinching and half-measures. None of it makes life easier for Nuno Espírito Santo as he tries to restore a bit of order and stop the soft goals pouring in.

➡️ Despite very few Manchester City betting news pieces mentioning relegation, Betfred have them at 16/1 due to the faint but real threat of a heavy sanction from those 115 Premier League financial charges.

Nottingham Forest have pulled the trigger on Ange Postecoglou. He was among the favourites in the Premier League’s next-manager-to-go market. Sean Dyche’s in now, and say what you like, he’s a bloke who can turn chaos into a half-decent unit.

The guy has done it before, he’ll fancy doing it again. Pity though that the Aussie’s out, as with Forest at 9/4 to go down, there was every chance of him winning them the Championship, it being his second season after all.

Two more that are hanging by a thread right now are Leeds and Brentford. Burnley remain favourites to go down and join the likes of QPR and Wrexham in the Championship, even after quite the convincing 2-0 win over Farke’s men.

Sunderland too find themselves dragged into the danger talk, not for form but for that old tag of a newly promoted side struggling to stick around. Fulham at 8/1 look a touch overpriced. They're inconsistent, sure, but nowhere near the defensive chaos below them. 

One outside factor that could shape the relegation fight more than any January deal is AFCON. Fulham are set to lose Alex Iwobi and Calvin Bassey, both key to Silva’s setup. Brentford might be without Dango Ouattara and Frank Onyeka, and Wolves could miss Munetsi, Tchatchoua, and Arokodare — a proper headache given how thin they already are in midfield.

This is how the Premier League relegation odds line up at the moment, courtesy of Coral:

Odds correct at time of writing.

Previous odds

30/09/25

Premier League champion odds (30/09/25)

Premier League relegation odds (30/09/25)

Odds correct at time of writing.