Premier League betting tips: Matchweek 14 preview

We have a rare Premier League midweek round. Liverpool hold a nine-point lead at the top of the table but there's plenty of talking points in the fight to stave off relegation. 

However with Arne Slot’s side, Arsenal and Manchester City all in action on Wednesday night and with more matches to come at the weekend, it could be a huge evening for the destination of the Premier League title in 2024/25. 

Ipswich vs Crystal Palace betting tips

This is one of the most important matches this midweek. Ipswich will get few better opportunities to end their position as the only Premier League team without a home win this season. Crystal Palace are one of just three clubs in the league without a victory on the road. 

There’s a strong chance the teams cancel each other out. Ipswich have already had three 1-1 draws at home, plus another on the road at Southampton. Even against the other strugglers, they have been struggling to win. 

With the Eagles having drawn with Leicester and Wolves, everything points towards a stalemate at the wrong end of the league table.

Scoreline prediction

Ipswich 1-1 Crystal Palace (6/1 with bet365)

FIRST’s top tip:

Draw (27/11 with Matchbook)

Leicester vs West Ham betting tips

Ruud van Nistelrooy gets his Leicester tenure underway with a visit from West Ham. While not the hardest possible opener, the Hammers have been marginally better on the road than at the London Stadium this season. 

It’s hard to know what to expect from the Foxes’ new boss. However, until Van Nistelrooy has time to properly sort out Leicester’s backline, goals look inevitable.

They are joint-top of the division for matches in which both teams scored, netting in every home game. Similarly, the Hammers have drawn a blank in just one of their six league matches on the road. 

Scoreline prediction

Leicester 1-2 West Ham (31/4 with Mr.Play)

FIRST’s top tip:

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals (Evens with Ladbrokes)

Everton vs Wolves betting tips

Wolves won this fixture 1-0 last season, just as they did in 2022. With Everton securing three points with the same scoreline the year before, only one of the last four clashes at Goodison Park saw more than one goal.

The Wolves team of 2024/25 may make this more entertaining. They top the Premier League for total goals this season, with 4.2 per match. Ten of their 13 games have seen at least three. 

Gary O’Neil’s side also have the worst defensive record so should offer Everton a few chances. But can the goal-shy Toffees take advantage? They have failed to score in their last four matches. 

Scoreline prediction

Everton 1-1 Wolves (31/5 with Matchbook)

FIRST’s top tip:

Under 2.5 goals (10/11 with 888 Sport)

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest betting tips

The underlying expected goal [xG] data from this season will tell you backing Nottingham Forest to win is a good value play. They are in better form than Manchester City too.

But can you trust them? After all, Forest have only scored once across the four meetings with City since they were promoted to the Premier League. 

Their counter-attacking style should work well against the current version of City who are coughing up several big chances a game though. With the visitors having only lost once in four games against the rest of the top five, the price for Forest to avoid defeat is too tempting to ignore. 

Scoreline prediction

Manchester City 1-1 Nottingham Forest (9/1 with Paddy Power)

FIRST’s top tip:

Double chance: Nottingham Forest win or draw (21/10 with Mr.Play)

Newcastle vs Liverpool betting tips

These teams have delivered some of the most fondly remembered Premier League matches we have ever seen, dating back to the mid-1990s. However, their recent meetings at St. James’ Park have tended to be low scoring.

Had 10-man Liverpool not managed to score in the 93rd minute last season, the previous four clashes at Newcastle would’ve seen a maximum of two goals each. The Magpies’ home matches have been light on goals this season too, with only one of six league matches paying out over 2.5 goals.

With the Reds’ matches with Aston Villa, Brentford and Nottingham Forest seeing fewer than three goals, Newcastle’s general proximity to those teams suggests this easily could too. 

Scoreline prediction

Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool (11/1 with Matchbook)

FIRST’s top tip:

Under 2.5 goals (31/20 with Unibet)

Southampton vs Chelsea betting tips

Three of the last four matches at St Mary’s Stadium have ended 3-2 to one side. It would be natural to think Chelsea will win more comfortably than that but the same was thought about Liverpool a little over a week ago. The league leaders only got the three points thanks to a second-half penalty. 

And while the Blues undoubtedly should win, they have only amassed three clean sheets so far this Premier League season. Against a Saints side that has scored in seven of their last nine games, Enzo Maresca’s men should help deliver an entertaining match on the south coast. 

Scoreline prediction

Southampton 1-3 Chelsea (11/1 with William Hill)

FIRST’s top tip:

Chelsea win and over 2.5 goals (20/23 with Boyle Sports)

Arsenal vs Manchester United betting tips

Arsenal have won this fixture in each of the last three seasons, scoring exactly three goals every time. With Manchester United conceding three ‘Opta-defined’ big chances to Ipswich in their previous away game and two goals to Norway’s Bodo/Glimt, it is reasonable to think a similar outcome is on the cards. 

Backing the Gunners to win games featuring several goals at home is a profitable strategy irrespective of who they are hosting. Since the start of 2022/23, 29 of their Premier League wins at the Emirates Stadium have also seen over 2.5 goals, with just four featuring one or two. 

Scoreline prediction

Arsenal 3-1 Manchester United (11/1 with Matchbook)

FIRST’s top tip:

Arsenal win and over 2.5 goals (11/10 with Coral)

Aston Villa vs Brentford betting tips

Brentford are the best home side in the Premier League this season but the second worst away from home. The latter would suggest Aston Villa are set for a comfortable evening.

But their form is very poor and they have had one fewer day to prepare for this match. The Bees had a morale boosting 4-1 win over Leicester on Saturday too. 

Betting on goals feels safer than trying to predict the outcome. This fixture ended 3-3 in April and three of the last four meetings at Villa Park saw at least four goals. This should too. 

Scoreline prediction

Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford (12/1 with bet365)

FIRST’s top tip:

Over 3.5 goals (33/20 with Bet MGM)

Fulham vs Brighton betting tips

These teams have identical records at home or away as appropriate this season: three wins, a draw and two defeats from six matches. 

Craven Cottage has not been a happy hunting ground for Brighton though. Their last win there occurred in the Championship almost eight years ago, with Fulham collecting three victories and a draw in the Premier League. 

Marco Silva’s side face Arsenal on Sunday so would be wise to put as much as they can into this game. Doing so should see them win a tight one.

Scoreline prediction

Fulham 2-1 Brighton (147/20 with MrPlay)

FIRST’s top tip:

Fulham to win (11/8 with 888 Sport)

Bournemouth vs Tottenham betting tips

Bournemouth might not be the best home side in the Premier League, but their wins over Arsenal and Manchester City ensure they approach any match at the Vitality Stadium in a confident mood.

Tottenham are the hardest team to predict. In the league, their stunning 4-0 win at the Etihad Stadium was sandwiched by a home loss to Ipswich and a draw with 10-man Fulham.

Spurs are joint-second for games with over 3.5 goals this season, which is also a common factor in this head-to-head. Four of the last six meetings saw at least four goals. 

Scoreline prediction

Bournemouth 2-2 Tottenham (9/1 with Matchbook)

FIRST’s top tip:

Over 3.5 goals (21/20 with Bet Goodwin)

Odds correct at the time of writing.