Top of the Props: Iliman the Man, German to throw down the Hammer and Burn baby Burn

liman Ndiaye over 1.5 shots for Everton vs Chelsea – 13/10 

After he won for us in this column two weeks ago, it would be rude not to back Iliman Ndiaye again. 

The winger continues to be David Moyes’ best attacking outlet for Everton as his two shots against Man City last weekend saw his average for his new boss climb to 1.81 per 90. 

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He’s fired off eight shots in three games since his return from injury with three against Arsenal showing that he’s happy to pull the trigger against the league’s stronger sides.

Chelsea only concede 10.6 shots per game at Stamford Bridge but Ipswich managed 13 shots there a couple of weeks ago suggesting that Everton should be able to create chances. 

The Toffees had 10 shots in this fixture last season despite losing 6-0 and with nothing at stake for them here, they’ll be confident of attacking with Ndiaye central to their threat.  

Niclas Fullkrug over 1.5 fouls committed for West Ham vs Brighton – 13/10 

In what has been a frustrating debut season in England full of injuries, Niclas Fullkrug is finally fully fit and starting for West Ham. 

The German is well known for his physical approach and this season has averaged 2.33 fouls per 90. In his four starts, he’s made eight infringements, landing this bet in three of those. He's picked up two yellow cards in his first season in east London, which would earn him 10 booking points in this emerging cards market that we've discussed in detail in our latest football betting blog on booking points. 

With his lack of pace, Fullkrug will be used as a target man meaning plenty of aerial battles which often lead to fouls from mistimed jumps and pushes in the air. 

Marshalling Fullkrug will be Lewis Dunk who has drawn 1.14 fouls per 90 and will fancy the physical battle that the striker provides. 

With Graham Potter challenging his Hammers side to show another level to their play, the onus will be on Fullkrug to set the tone by pressing from the front which should also lead to plenty of chances for late challenges. 

Dan Burn over 0.5 shots for Newcastle vs Ipswich – 22/25 

England international Dan Burn has been enjoying a consistent spell of shooting in recent weeks with five attempts at goal in his last four starts. 

His goal in the EFL Cup final seems to have given him a taste for goalscoring and with Ipswich conceding nine shots to centre backs in their last three games, he’ll be eyeing another appearance on the scoresheet. 

Only four Premier League sides have conceded more shots from set pieces than Ipswich and the Tractor Boys have also given up the fourth most expected goals from dead ball situations. 

With relegation back to the Championship all but confirmed, Town players may think twice about putting their body on the line to defend Burn’s six-foot seven-inch frame from set plays and he can take advantage of this to continue his recent shooting streak.

Odds used via BetMGM are correct at the time of writing.