Top of the Props: Toffees Keane to sign off at Goodison with a win, Neco to net for Forest and Kayode to KO Cottagers

Michael Keane over 0.5 shots for Everton vs Southampton – 4/5

(BetMGM)

With James Tarkowski out for the season with a hamstring injury, Michael Keane has been deputising at centre back for Everton. 

The experienced defender has had limited minutes under David Moyes but across the season averages 1.01 shots per 90 including two shots and a goal against Fulham last time out. 

Love football? Find the best football betting sites and bet with welcome bonuses today.

He’s also played against Saints twice already this season across league and cup and managed three shots with this bet winning in both.

Despite avoiding the embarrassment of the joint lowest points tally in Premier League history, Southampton are still a shambles defensively and in particular from set pieces where they’ve conceded the joint most goals in the division. 

Read: Premier League betting tips: Matchweek 37 preview

They’ve also conceded 175 shots from dead balls situations in just 36 games which is 12 more than any other side and when Moyes is such a set piece fan, Keane looks a lovely price to get his head on at least one. 

Neco Williams over 0.5 shots for Nottingham Forest vs West Ham – 4/5

(BetMGM)

With Forest desperate for three points in the race for the top five, they’ll be shooting on sight and full back Neco Williams’ 1.36 shots per 90 suggest he’s capable of providing at least one. 

He’s had 13 shots across his last seven away starts and when playing on the left as he has been doing recently, he’s often cutting in and shooting on his stronger right foot. 

Read: The Weekly Acca: 6/1 acca features PSG, Napoli & Inter Milan 

Under Graham Potter, West Ham are conceding 12.38 shots per game at home and look anything but strong defensively. 

In the reverse fixture, they allowed Forest 19 efforts at goal and with what’s at stake for the visitors, we may see a similar total here. 

The last four opposition left backs to face the Hammers have combined for seven shots. It suggests that Williams can get some joy when Wan-Bissaka bombs forward and his data shows he’s not afraid to pull the trigger. 

Michael Kayode over 0.5 fouls committed for Brentford vs Fulham – 49/50 

(BetMGM)

Since joining on loan in January, Michael Kayode has been starting at right back for Brentford in recent weeks and wasted no time in asserting his physicality, committing 5 fouls in his 4 starts. 

This is in line with his data from Serie A this season where he was making 0.73 fouls per 90 and so we can expect this trend to continue.

Kayode will be tasked with containing Fulham’s left hand side combination of Alex Iwobi and Ryan Sessegnon who draw 1.21 fouls per 90 combined. 

The last three opposition right backs against the Cottagers have committed four fouls with each of them landing this bet and in the reverse fixture. 

Mads Roerslev made two infringements and was booked when starting at right back for the Bees.

Odds correct at the time of writing.