Top of the Props: Premier League prop betting tips

Dan Ballard 1+ shot for Sunderland vs Chelsea – Evens @ Ladbrokes

Since his return from injury, Sunderland centre back Dan Ballard has taken four shots in just 211 minutes of action, landing this bet in three cameos from the bench and last time out when he started against Wolves.

That means that he is now averaging 2.32 shots per 90 in the Premier League and has taken at least one shot in every appearance other than his nine-minute spell against Burnley before he got injured.

Chelsea may be sat in fifth, but when you look at Chelsea's stats you see they’re one of the weakest sides in the Premier League when it comes to defending set pieces, having conceded 4.38 shots from such situations per game – the fourth worst record in the division.

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The Blues have allowed opposition centre-backs to take 14 efforts at goal in just eight league games, and so with Ballard, the Black Cats’ biggest aerial threat and in excellent shooting form, his price is one I can’t turn down.  

Check out this 4/1 footy acca bet in our Weekly Acca guide

Timothy Castagne 2+ tackles for Fulham v Newcastle @ 7/10 – Ladbrokes

Fulham left back Timothy Castagne has the unenviable task of containing one of the Premier League’s most dangerous wingers in Anthony Gordon on Saturday afternoon.

Gordon’s love for beating a full back regularly forces them to make multiple tackles with opposition right backs against the Magpies this season, averaging 2.16 tackles per game, with eight of 12 landing this bet.

Castagne himself has made 1.94 tackles per 90 this season with two or more in four of his last five starts. Last time out he made four against Leandro Trossard and when he last faced Gordon he was forced into three tackles.

This looks a good match-up for the Belgian to be kept busy and we can get on board at a backable price. 

Want more tips like these? Head over to our weekly Premier League predictions 

Tyrick Mitchell 2+ tackles for Crystal Palace v Arsenal – 4/5 @ Ladbrokes

This bet may be one of the best bits of value in this column this season. Tyrick Mitchell is averaging 3.55 tackles per 90 this season and has made two or more in all nine of his appearances across all competitions.

He also averaged 2.6 dispossessions per 90 last season and in his last five games against Arsenal has made tackle counts of three, four, four, four and three. 

Mitchell also has the perfect opponent for drawing tackles in Bukayo Saka, whose dribbling skill and pace mean that his direct opponent regularly spends most of the game trying to get the ball off him.

Across Arsenal’s 12 games in all competitions this season, opposition left-backs have combined for 25 tackles with eight of those managing at least two.

Given all of the data at hand for both Saka and Mitchell, the 12/5 on offer for three tackles is also a must-back. 

Odds correct at the time of writing.

Previous selections

17/09/25

Morgan Gibbs-White 2+ shots for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea @ 5/6 – Ladbrokes

Carlos Baleba 2+ fouls committed for Brighton vs Newcastle @ 10/11 – Ladbrokes

Beto 1+ offside for Everton vs Man City @ 11/10 – Ladbrokes 

09/09/2025

Isaac Price 2+ shots and 1+ shots on target for Northern Ireland v Slovakia – 4/5 – Ladbrokes

Evan Ferguson 2+ shots for Ireland v Portugal – 2/1 – Ladbrokes

Nathan Collins 1+ shot for Ireland v Portugal – 13/5 – Ladbrokes

04/09/2025

Dan Ballard 1+ shot for Sunderland vs Manchester Utd – Evens – Ladbrokes

El-Hadji Malick Diouf 2+ fouls committed for West Ham vs Arsenal – 13/5 – Ladbrokes

Daniel Munoz 2+ fouls committed for Crystal Palace vs Everton – 19/10 – Ladbrokes 

26/09/2025

Kyle Walker 1+ fouls committed for Burnley vs Man City – 5/6 – Ladbrokes

Emmanuel Agbadou 2+ tackles for Wolves vs Tottenham – 7/5 – Ladbrokes

Joachim Andersen 1+ shots for Fulham vs Aston Villa – 8/5 – Ladbrokes

19/09/2025

Beto 1+ offside for Everton vs Liverpool – 10/11 – Ladbrokes

Dango Ouattara 1+ offside for Brentford vs Fulham – 23/10 - Ladbrokes

Phil Foden 2+ shots for Manchester City vs Arsenal – 13/10 – Ladbrokes 

12/09/2025

Viktor Gyokeres 1+ offside for Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest – 6/4 – Ladbrokes

Nick Woltemade 2+ fouls committed for Newcastle v Wolves – Evens – Ladbrokes

Timothy Castagne 2+ shots for Fulham vs Leeds – 21/10 – Ladbrokes

04/09/2025

Anthony Ralston 2+ fouls committed for Scotland vs Denmark – 9/4 – Ladbrokes

Mattias Kait 1+ shots for Estonia vs Italy – 10/11 – Ladbrokes

Joao Neves 1+ shots on target for Portugal vs Armenia – 9/5 – Ladbrokes

21/08/2025

Dan Ballard over 0.5 shots for Sunderland vs Burnley - 5/6 Coral
Nathan Collins over 0.5 shots for Brentford vs Aston Villa - 29/20 Coral
Murillo over 0.5 shots for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace - 11/10 Coral

14/08/2025

Anthony Gordon 1+ offside for Newcastle vs Aston Villa  - 7/4 (Coral)
Cristian Romero 2+ shots for Tottenham vs Burnley - 16/5 (Coral)

Sepp van den Berg 1+ shot for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest - 7/4 (Coral)

07/08/2025

George Hirst 3+ shots for Ipswich vs Birmingham – 6/4 – Betway

Ismaila Sarr over 0.5 shots on target for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool – 5/4 – Betway

Over 2.5 offsides for Hull vs Coventry – 10/11 – BetMGM

11/07/2025

Over 4.5 total offsides in PSG vs Chelsea – 5/6 – BetMGM

Fabian Ruiz over 1.5 tackles for PSG vs Chelsea – 9/10 – BetMGM

Joao Pedro over 1.5 shots for Chelsea vs PSG – 3/4 - BetMGM

27/06/2025

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