Three value picks you must check out before the US Open 2025
It seems like only yesterday that we were gearing up for the Masters, yet here we are, just days out from the third major of the year.
The US Open 2025 takes place at Oakmont Country Club in Plum, Pennsylvania.
Ahead of what is often thought of as the toughest major title to clinch, I’m looking beyond the top of the market to see if there’s anybody who represents a slice of value at chunky odds.
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Sure, right now, given the recent dominance of someone like Scottie Scheffler, and with Rory McIlroy really returning to the boil in 2025. And we’ve already discussed our ante-post top tips for the major season and who might be the value plays.
It seems like an uphill battle for any of the relative outsiders, but bigger priced players have done the business at the US Open more often than you might think in recent times.
Since 2010, we’ve seen several big-priced winners of this tournament, with 40/1, 45/1, 66/1 and 80/1 shots getting the job done.
So if you fancy someone at a larger price, go for it, that’s what I say. On that note, here’s what I’ve come up with ahead of Thursday’s action.
Tommy Fleetwood @ 28/1 (Ladbrokes each way, 10 places)
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The first dart that I’ll throw at the US Open board is a Tommy Fleetwood shaped one, and sure, I know that the Englishman remains without a major win under his belt, but from a trends point of view, that’s not the end of the world.
In recent years, we’ve seen more first-time major winners clinch the US Open than any other major.
In fact, every US Open winner since 2016 happened to be securing their maiden major title, which bodes well given Fleetwood’s previous major frustrations.
Let’s face it, the man with those luscious locks has often contended on the biggest stage, securing five top-ten spots at majors since a t5 finish at PGA Championship in 2022.
Fleetwood also brings lots of strong recent form to the table, delivering three recent top-ten finishes, finishing t16 last time out at the Memorial, which followed a T4 finish at the Charles Schwab.
The world number 13 also boasts promising strokes gained form, especially for strokes gained: tee-to-green and strokes gained: accuracy, which is a stat that is not to be ignored ahead of an intense accuracy test such as the US Open.
He also ranks as the seventh-best player in the field for strokes gained: total across the last eight tournaments, making odds of 28/1 look a little too juicy to turn down for my liking.
Sepp Straka @ 33/1 (Coral, each way, 10 places)
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Of all the majors, certainly of the three played stateside, given the ramped-up rough, the US Open is the one that demands the most from players in terms of accuracy.
Sepp Straka is accurate. He’s currently the best player on the PGA Tour for greens in regulation, third for strokes gained: approach and fourth for strokes gained: tee-to-green. I like those stats.
Over the last eight events, only eight players rank above the man who won The American Express back in January for strokes gained: total too, so I wouldn’t be too surprised if he played well this week.
Straka, who is now up to eighth in the Official World Golf Ranking, also brings strong form into this event, finishing third at the Memorial last time out, posting the best final 36-hole score in the field.
At 33/1, he ticks enough boxes to go down as a solid each-way bet as far as I’m concerned.
Keegan Bradley @ 66/1 (Coral, each way, 10 places)
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The only major winner in my trio this week, the 2025 US Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley ticks plenty of boxes ahead of the test at Oakmont.
To thrive at the US Open, you need to be strong tee-to-green, it’s as simple as that. Right now, Bradley ranks as the third-best player on the PGA tour for strokes gained: tee-to-green.
The US Open also demands quick recovery, especially around the greens, so it also bodes rather well that Keegan Bradley ranks as the best player in the field for strokes gained: around-the-green across the last eight tournaments.
He’s also the sixth-best in the field for strokes gained: approach during the same period of time, bolstering his claims further.
It’s now well over a decade since Bradley’s one and only major victory, but the 2011 PGA Championship winner arrives in form having finished t7 last week.
While he finished t8 at the PGA the week before, showing his ability to deliver the goods on the biggest stage.
He’s also not without recent US Open form, finishing t7 in 2023. At 66/1, he gets the nod.
Odds correct at the time of writing.
Other sports betting tips
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US Open betting tips: Can favourite Scottie Scheffler tame Oakmont and add major number four?
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Canadian Open betting tips: Former champ Nick Taylor in fine form in own back yard
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Memorial betting tips: Scheffler defends but Cantlay to thrive at Jack's place
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Charles Schwab Challenge betting tips: English to school field or Scheffler to keep it rolling in Texas?