Aston Villa betting statistics 2024/25

A 2-0 defeat at Manchester United on the final day of the season ultimately cost Aston Villa a Champions League finish. The defeat at Old Trafford could have greater repercussions for the Villans, who were already at the mercy of Profit and Sustainability Rules. While Europa League football is still an accomplishment, Villa are left in a tight spot heading into the summer.

One of the main reasons behind Villa’s failure to wrap up a top-five finish was the inability to make home advantage count. While no team lost fewer home games than Villa (1) in the Premier League last season, they still drew seven; only Everton (9) and Brighton (8) were held to stalemates in front of their fans more.

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Goals scored, shots and xG

Aston Villa’s goal woes ultimately further limited their chances of securing a spot in Europe’s elite club competition next season. They only netted 58 goals, ranking them joint-ninth in the Premier League, and fewer than 17th-placed Tottenham (64). It was the lowest goal haul of those to finish inside the top six.

It didn’t help that Villa’s average of 9.5 key passes and 12.7 shots per game both ranked 12th in the Premier League last season. To put it simply – they didn’t create enough to justify their place inside the top five. What they did create, though, should have been enough to put the requisite points on the board. After all, only Brentford (0.15) generated more xG per shot than Unai Emery’s side (0.14) in the division.

However, while Villa managed the relevant xG per shot to rub shoulders with the best in the league, the failure to routinely tuck their chances away proved their undoing. An xG underperformance of 10.55 was the sixth highest in the league, while striker Ollie Watkins’s underperformance of three ranked 15th.

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Goals conceded, shots conceded and tackles

At the other end of the pitch, Villa’s lack of resolve also hindered their chances of finishing in the Champions League places. While the Villans conceded the eighth fewest shots per game (12.2), they still conceded 51 league goals, level with 12th-placed Crystal Palace and more than any other side to finish in the top seven.

Furthermore, Villa also conceded more xG (55.29) than any other side to finish inside the top six, which highlights a failure to limit the chances created by opponents. While a drop on the previous season’s haul, it still left the Midlands side swimming against the tide to pip the likes of Newcastle and Chelsea to a place in the Champions League. You can compare Villa's data with Newcastle's stats and Chelsea's stats.

What didn’t help Villa was that they weren’t quite as quick as other sides in their bid to win the ball back. 16.8 tackles per game ranked 14th in the Premier League last season, and while tackles aren’t the be all and end all in a bid to regain the ball, that they finished 10th for possession (50.6%) meant they should have been more proactive in their quest to win the ball. In addition, only Arsenal (5.9) and Manchester City (6) made fewer interceptions per game than Villa (6.3), which didn’t aid their cause.

Furthermore, only City (1626) made fewer ball recoveries than Villa (1698) in England’s top tier last term. While this could be a stick with which to beat City, that they had the highest possession average meant there wasn’t such a need to win the ball back, whereas Villa’s possession return was 11% lower than Pep Guardiola’s side. To put simply, they needed to work harder to rob opponents of the ball.

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Dribbles, assists, times fouled and set-pieces

Villa, though, did at least know how to peg defences back in their route for goal. Unai Emery’s side finished the season fourth for dribbles per game (8.6) as they looked to beat a marker and put a ball into the box.

A key attacking player for Emery’s side was Morgan Rogers. The 22-year-old joined from Middlesbrough 18 months ago and finished the campaign with eight goals and 10 assists to his name, the latter the fourth most overall, and his performances in a Villa shirt have certainly caught the eye with the likes of Arsenal and Chelsea, credited with an interest in the England international.

In addition, Rogers was able to get the better of a man with relative ease as the youngster impressively transitioned to the rigours of Premier League football. Rogers did complete the sixth most dribbles (66) in the division, which helped boost his reputation.

As such, opponents went to great lengths in order to limit Villa’s attacking influence. While they often landed in hot water with officials, the Villans were fouled more times per game (13.1) than any other team in the Premier League last season.

And Villa of course maximised the number of times they were fouled in the Premier League last season. While they scored the fewest goals of the top six in the division, only Nottingham Forest (17) scored more set-piece goals than Villa (16) in England’s top tier last term as they utilised deadball situations.

This summer will be hugely important for Villa, however. Having been forced to sell the likes of Douglas Luiz, Moussa Diaby and Jhon Duran to remain within PSR guidelines, the club has to cash in on key men in order to avoid punishment, with Rogers, Emiliano Martinez and Ollie Watkins all linked with a summer exit. If Villa can at least retain Emery’s services, then they’ll be able to challenge for a European finish next season.

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